Markets, But Make Them Emotional
It’s 2021, and in the middle of a quiet day on the stock market, a single tweet from Elon Musk, just one word: “Gamestonk!!”, sends GameStop’s stock price flying up by 157% in just one day. Welcome to the markets of the 2020s, where emotions are assets, memes move billions, and TikTok dances are closer to market signals than your economics textbook.
Gone are the days when stock prices moved like clockwork in response to GDP reports or inflation forecasts. Today, stocks can surge because a billionaire added an emoji, or tank because a Reddit forum decided it’s time to “diamond hand” something else. We’ve entered an era where attention is currency and the loudest narrative often wins, whether it’s backed by data or just dopamine.
This isn’t just a Wall Street phenomenon either. From New York to Nairobi, investor behavior is increasingly shaped by stories, signals, and social proof. Ethiopia’s capital market has officially launched, marking a major milestone. But in these early, formative stages, where structure is still being built and investor habits are just taking shape, understanding how global emotional triggers, from viral content to social sentiment, can influence market behavior is more relevant than ever. What moves markets abroad might soon move ours, too.
The Traditional Movers: Still Relevant?
For the longest time, markets have been primarily influenced by:
- Interest Rates: Central banks adjust these to control inflation and stimulate or cool down the economy.
- Inflation: High inflation can erode purchasing power, affecting consumer spending and corporate profits.
- Economic Indicators: Metrics like GDP growth, unemployment rates, and consumer confidence provide insights into economic health.
- Corporate Earnings: Strong earnings reports can boost stock prices, while disappointing results can lead to declines.
Fundamentals still matter, just like your grandfather’s advice about saving. But these days, markets also listen to that one cousin who made a TikTok about crypto and went viral in 30 minutes.
The Rise of the Meme Market
Enter the era when a subreddit and a smartphone app can rival a central bank for market-moving power.
- Reddit’s Rallying Cry: On January 22, 2021, users on the Reddit page r/WallStreetBets teamed up to drive up GameStop’s stock price. In just four days, the price jumped more than 600%, catching big hedge funds off guard and causing several pauses in trading. A week later, the number of people following the page shot up from 2 million to over 6 million. By February 2023, it had grown to 13.6 million members, making it one of the biggest finance communities on the internet.
- Social Media as a Financial Advisor: According to a 2023 Bankrate survey, 30% of Americans turn to social media for financial advice, ranking it just behind family (47%) and professional advisors (35%). Among younger people, that figure jumps to 76% of Gen Z and 65% of millennials, underscoring how “finfluencers” now sit at the front lines of money management.
- TikTok’s Double-Edged Sword: TikTok’s bite-sized videos have become a hotbed for investment tips, with nearly 80% of young adults reporting they get financial advice from social platforms. Regulators are taking note: South Africa’s FSCA warns that “individuals with a significant following… wield significant influence over consumer behaviour,” and they’re prepared to step in if finfluencers veer into misinformation territory.
Together, these trends show that group emotions, fueled by memes, hashtags, and viral videos, can move billions of dollars almost overnight. It’s like a financial flash mob, but with way more zeros. While this makes market info more accessible to everyone, it also brings new risks. Trends can flip in an instant, and all that “diamond hands” loyalty? It can vanish as quickly as excitement for a stock when the hype dies down, like a New Year’s resolution by mid-January.
Tesla: The Market’s Favorite Story, Not Its Best Math
Tesla is basically a storytelling machine with wheels.
- Tesla’s share price soared ~1,300% between early 2020 and late 2021.
- Its market cap grew from $117 billion (Jan 2020) to over $1 trillion (Oct 25, 2021).
- In 2020 alone, the stock jumped 743%.
- In 2021, it added another 50%, despite production issues and missed targets.
Why? Because people aren’t just buying cars, they’re buying the dream. When Elon Musk hints at a humanoid robot, tweets about Dogecoin, or casually talks about sending humans to Mars, you can bet Tesla’s stock will jump. Even when deliveries miss targets or earnings fall short, it barely makes a dent. Tesla’s valuation is driven by the story, pricing in growth and innovation long before the numbers even show up.
According to ARK Invest’s Big Ideas 2023 report, Tesla’s future potential, especially in autonomous ride-hailing, dominates its current stock price, with investors treating every tweet as a prospectus.
Now, let’s talk Toyota. In 2021, Toyota delivered over 10 million cars, pulled in ¥27 trillion (about $250 billion) in revenue, and kept paying steady dividends. But still, its market cap was only around $250 billion, just a quarter of Tesla’s peak. Toyota’s fundamentals? Rock solid. But it doesn’t exactly have the viral cool factor that Tesla has. This shows how investors today aren’t just buying into businesses, they’re buying into the stories. And in the case of Tesla, the hype often leaves the horsepower in the dust.
Ethiopia’s Emerging Market: A New Frontier
Ethiopia’s capital markets have officially kicked off. The Ethiopian Securities Exchange (ESX) rang its bell on January 10, 2025, with Wegagen Bank as the first listing. It’s like our own local version of a coming-of-age celebration, though, just like any party, some guests are still trickling in.
Since the October 2024 pilot, the ESX’s interbank trading platform has processed over ETB 135 billion (about USD 1.1 billion) in trades. That’s no small change. We’ve got some major players in the mix: Ethio Telecom is gearing up for an ETB 3 billion IPO, which could be Africa’s second-largest in 2024 after South Africa’s Boxer deal. And it’s not just stocks. The ESX is quietly working on a corporate bond market, with institutional players already showing interest.
At this stage, fundamentals like earnings, interest rates, and central bank moves will lead the way. But as retail investors jump in and companies grow, who knows? Maybe the next “Gamestonk!!” moment could happen right here in Addis like when Teddy Afro drops a surprise single and every radio station goes into meltdown. Balancing solid analysis with a pulse on social buzz will be the secret sauce for anyone asking the trillion-birr question: What truly moves markets?
